Thursday, September 18, 2008

Oh where is the bottom?

So the big question everyone's asking after this week of major shake up is "when will the pain stop".  Obviously the market is never 100% predictable but I'm going to go ahead and hit the record saying I foresee the S&P falling to 1100 before the election.  Here's why:

Today the S&P traded down to & bounced on a 
previous support 
from 2005.  But there's a much stronger support from 2004 that sits right at the $1100 mark.  Although anything can happen the older 2004 support will more likely be the ultimate basing ground.  

To point out more reason why a short term bear market is not over, one must consider the appearance of a strong falling three candle pattern as seen in Yellow here:


This classic candle pattern is very consistent in foreshadowing a coming bear market.  Don't be surprised if the S&P trades down to and around 1100 for a while before turning bullish, and don't be surprised if this market continues up to the election. 

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